Haggai Foundation is a Development Partner
The Executive Summary of Vision 2050

In December 2007, the National Executive Council (NEC) of Papua New Guinea, on advice from the National Planning Committee (NPC), made a decision to develop a framework for a long-term strategy — “The Papua New Guinea Vision 2050” — that should map out the future direction for our country and reflect the aspirations of the people of Papua New Guinea.

Vision 2050 is underpinned by seven Strategic Focus Areas, which are referred to as pillars:

  • Human Capital Development, Gender, Youth and People Empowerment;

  • Wealth Creation;

  • Institutional Development and Service Delivery;

  • Security and International Relations;

  • Environmental Sustainability and Climate Change;

  • Spiritual, Cultural and Community Development; and

  • Strategic Planning, Integration and Control.

Papua New Guinea has great potential through its natural resources — land, cash crops, forests and fisheries — to improve its socioeconomic development status. Equally important are other areas that can contribute to economic growth and better living standards for the people, including human capital development, an improved infrastructure networks and an efficient service deliv­ery mechanism for public goods and services. These areas underscore the underlying theme that drives Vision 2050 and the development agenda for Papua New Guinea.

Based on the deterioration of the provision of public goods and services and lack of meaning­ful participation of the rural people in income-earning activities and their aspirations to do better, Vision 2050 incorporates the National Government’s Strategic Directional Statements that will drive development initiatives over the next 40 years.

The nation will focus all its efforts and will strive to achieve the following key outcomes:

  • Changing and rehabilitating the mind-set of our people;

  • having strong political leadership and will power;

  • improvement in governance;

  • improvement in service delivery;

  • improvement in law and order;

  • development of strong moral obligation; and

  • rapid growth potential which can be realized in a reasonable time.

When the directional statements together with the seven pillars are effectively and efficiently implemented in programs and projects, Papua New Guinea will be transformed into an emerging developing country.

To be among the top 50 countries in the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI), there will be several pathways which Papua New Guinea’s economy can take. Vision 2050 will pursue four development routes for the first ten years. For the years 2020 through to 2050, we will aspire for economic growth at some desirable rates, underpinned by key development projects. These include better service delivery, improved education, improved health services and sound political leadership and structures.

The Base Case Scenario (Scenario One) in the economic growth projections involving renewable resources is the minimum possible under improved service delivery, the promotion of human capital development, increased downstream processing, development and adoption of new technologies and improved productivity (see Chapter 2). The economy will grow in real terms at an average of 4.5 percent per year up to 2020. With an estimated population growth of 2.5 percent over the next 40 years until 2050, an increase in per capita income is expected.

When Land Reform (Scenario Two) is undertaken starting in 2010, the Base Case Scenario will be enhanced. When around three percent more of customary land is brought into production in the formal sector, the economy is projected to grow at an additional 1.2 percent each year on average. This scenario will empower our people to participate in income-generating activities through cultivation of their land. This will lead to broad-based economic growth and ensure balanced development in rural and urban areas.

With the inclusion of the Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) project (Scenario Three), excluding land re­form, the economic growth will be even better.

When the combined three scenarios are realised (Scenario Four), real GDP growth will more than double.

Papua New Guinea can become a smart, fair, wise, healthy and happy nation when all the directional statements under Vision 2050 are articulated, institutionalized and implemented efficiently and effectively.

In summary, opportunities will be created under the combined scenarios for Papua New Guineans to take part in the development processes:

  • empowering the people through improved education and life-skills;

  • working the land and benefiting from spin-offs from major projects;

  • enhancing the level of service delivery and basic infrastructure;

  • increasing trade volume.